Source code for quantecon.filter

"""

function for filtering

"""
import numpy as np

[docs]def hamilton_filter(data, h, *args): r""" This function applies "Hamilton filter" to the data http://econweb.ucsd.edu/~jhamilto/hp.pdf Parameters ---------- data : arrray or dataframe h : integer Time horizon that we are likely to predict incorrectly. Original paper recommends 2 for annual data, 8 for quarterly data, 24 for monthly data. *args : integer If supplied, it is p in the paper. Number of lags in regression. Must be greater than h. If not supplied, random walk process is assumed. Note: For seasonal data, it's desirable for p and h to be integer multiples of the number of obsevations in a year. e.g. For quarterly data, h = 8 and p = 4 are recommended. Returns ------- cycle : array of cyclical component trend : trend component """ # transform data to array y = np.asarray(data, float) # sample size T = len(y) if len(args) == 1: # if p is supplied p = args # construct X matrix of lags X = np.ones((T-p-h+1, p+1)) for j in range(1, p+1): X[:, j] = y[p-j:T-h-j+1:1] # do OLS regression b = np.linalg.solve(X.transpose()@X, X.transpose()@y[p+h-1:T]) # trend component (nan for the first p+h-1 period) trend = np.append(np.zeros(p+h-1)+np.nan, X@b) # cyclical component cycle = y - trend elif len(args) == 0: # if p is not supplied (random walk) cycle = np.append(np.zeros(h)+np.nan, y[h:T] - y[0:T-h]) trend = y - cycle return cycle, trend